ABOUT ME

 

Nick Ragone is an author, attorney and public relations executive in New York City. He earned a bachelor’s degree in history and political science from Rutgers University, and is a graduate of the Eagleton Institute of Political Science at Rutgers University (undergraduate) and the Georgetown University Law Center.

He is the author of three books: Essential American Government, Everything American Government, and President's Most Wanted. Nick is a regular contributor to the Fox News Channel and Fox Business, the PIX11 Morning Show, and has a weekly appearance on the popular Raph Bailey Radio Show.  He co-anchored PIX11's five-hour live inauguration coverage with Jim Watkins and Kaity Tong.

Nick is a contributor to Donklephant.com, one of the most influential political blogs on the web, and  has written for US News & World Report, The Star-Ledger, Real Simple Magazine and RealSimple.com.  Nick has been quoted in over two dozen stories on politics, the presidency, and public relations.  In December of 2007, Nick was named one of PR Week's 40 under 40 to watch, and in May of 2008 was featured in "Profiles of Success", a book about public relations. Nick lives in Jersey City, NJ, with his wife and two children, and spends what little free time he has obsessing on the Mets.

Nick can also be found on Facebook. http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=740817853


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« Comms is now a part of CEO's job description | Main | Frankie and Mona on Fox News »
Monday
Nov022009

NJ Gubernatorial election

Election Day should be an interesting one in the Jerz.  Here's my take on the Gubernatorial election between Corzine and Christie ... Three months ago, I thought Christie was a lock:  Corzine's numbers were in the tank, Christie seemed like a solid candidate, and Obama was mired in the summer doldrums, which wasn't helping the cause.

Flash forward to last month, and it looked like Corzine had overtaken Christie in the polls and was beginning to pull away. Why? For starters, money.  Corzine has lots of it, and he flooded the air waves with negative ads.  The New York Times also began poking around Christie's record and personal life, and the rash of negative stories began to take its toll.  And third party candidate Chris Daggett, a Republican turned Independent, started siphoning critical support away from Christie.

And now? Well, things have tightened up considerably, to the point of being a dead heat.  Most polls show Christie with a fractional lead, but essentially it's a dead  heat.  So my prediction for election day?  The NJ Democrats typically have a much better get out the vote machine than the Republicans, so that bodes well for Corzine.  On the other hand, history shows that third party candidates typically over poll (mean they come in under their poll numbers on election day), and if that's the case Christie will benefit.  

At the end of the day, it really comes down to mobilization -- which candidate can turn their base out.  If this is a genuine change election, then Christie wins.  If it's a "lesser of two evils" election than its Corzine.   The White House is desperate to maintain some electoral momentum, especially with the Democrats trailing badly in the nation's other gubernatorial election in Virginia -- so much so that President Obama is scheduled to make several last minute campaign stops for Corzine.  My prediction: Christie in a squeaker.

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